
There have been many winners and losers during the Beijing Olympics, some obvious and others less so. I'm not really talking about the medal winners here, although some have won medals, but about the business winners - who will take home the gold bars, so to speak, and who has lost that chance. Ok, so here goes:
Winners.1. Michael Phelps, Talk about leading with the obvious, right. Phelps and his eight gold medals has the chance to be the first Olympic star to cross over into mainstream advertising and endorsements in the same manner that Tiger Woods and Michael Jordan have. He will not necessarily make the same kind of money that they have, swimming still doesn't have the same audience and demographics that golf and basketball have, but the possibility of $100 million in his future is certainly there.
2. Misty May-Treanor and Kerri Walsh. The Golden Girls will certainly benefit form NBC's singular focus on their successful defense of their gold medal from Athens. Their endorsements are bound to increase substantially but the upside may be limited by two significant factors: sponsors seem to like to link the pair together, which reduces their overall earnings, and they have expressed the desire to take time off to have babies and who knows what effect that may have.
3. Speedo. The effect of the new swimsuit is undeniable as the raft of world records in the Water Cube will attest. The uptick in interest in swimming from Michael Phelps will help too.
4 Usain Bolt. The name, the world records, the personality and the ease with which the 21 year old decimated the sprint fields combine to make the upside for Bolt to be almost limitless.
5. Puma. The Jamaican track team wears them and sweeping the men's and women's sprints sure gives them credibility and visibility as they try and crack the Chinese market, not to mention having Bolt parading around the Bird's Nest holding his golden Pumas aloft.
6. Nastia Lukin and Shawn Johnson. The upside for the gymnasts is high but may be somewhat limited by the difficulty in the public's eye of separating the two. With Lukin winning the all-around but Johnson also winning a gold and having won the all-around at last year's world championship, it may be hard to activate significant separate endorsements, especially given the proposed 36 stop tour coming up after they return home. Still, America loves them and the endorsements should continue to flow.
7. USA Basketball/NBA/WNBA. The dominating performance of the USA basketball teams and the generally agreeable demeanor of the team members, especially the Redeem Team, has done much to erase the memories of the men's team performance in Athens. Both teams have popped at venues all over Beijing and have given interviews expressing how great the experience has been. They have been tremendous ambassadors for America and the NBA/WNBA and David Stern could not hoped for any more.
8. USA baseball and softball. USA softball lost the gold medal game and USA baseball lost to Cuba in the semi-final, left to play Japan for the bronze medal. As a result, the aura of invincibility is gone and that, coupled with working out an arrangement with Major League Baseball to allow major league players to compete, may be enough to get baseball restored to the Games in time for, hopefully, Chicago in 2016.
Losers.1. Nike. The remarkable performance of the Jamaican sprinters and the disappointing performance of the American track team, coupled with swim team's dominating performance in the Speedo suit Nike agreed to let its endorsing swimmers wear has combined to diminish any real exposure time for Nike to the USA basketball team.
2. USA Track. The performance of the sprinters has been abysmal, especially the members of the men's and women's 4x100 relay teams. USA Track needs to take a long, hard look at what its training methods are and why its relay performances have been so poor for the last several Olympics.
3. Li Ning. The Chinese sporting goods company started by and named for the Chinese gymnast, achieved great exposure from the gold medal winning Chinese teams as expected but, the injury to hurdler Liu Xiang leaving him unable to compete, decimated the company's track and field plans in its hopes to battle Nike, Adidas and Puma in the great sportswear and sneaker wars.
4. Tyson Gay. The defending world champion in the 100 meters not only could not defeat Usain Bolt but due to an injury suffered at the US Olympic Trials which had not fully healed, he didn't even qualify for the finals and then was the at the end of the ill-fated baton pass in the 4x100 relay.
Labels: adidas, Michael Phelps, nba, NBC, Nike, Olympics, Puma, Speedo, Usain Bolt, WNBA