
Before I get into the Eight Belles issues, let me first say a few words about Big Brown. I'm not afraid to admit when I'm wrong and I was very wrong about this Derby. I didn't think that Big Brown could get a mile and quarter off of only three races and especially when he would have to use up so much energy coming so wide of the field. Well, he's a whole lot better colt then I gave him credit for, or he was really juiced or some combination of the two. I lean towards the latter. He is a whole lot better than I gave him credit for and we'll never know about the juice. He shouldn't be challenged in the Preakness but the Belmont should be very interesting.
The Eight Belles tragedy raises several questions about the conduct of thoroughbred racing and breeding, some of which I discussed in my
pre-Derby post, but will get into in a little more complete way today. The horse racing and breeding industry is going to have to do some serious soul searching and take a good hard look at the way it has been doing business if it is to restore the public's confidence and regain the public's interest in the sport.
There is no quick fix to a rash of breakdowns, if there is even a rash occurring. We may think there is as a result of Eight Belles and Barbaro in just three years, but Eight Belles is the first fatal injury in the Derby in at least 80 years and perhaps ever, although records and history are a little sketchy. It just so happens that the two horses were injured in the only races that most of the country seems to care about.
Three factors stand out in addressing fatal injuries. One is the condition of the racing surface. Churchill Downs is a dirt track. Whether synthetic surfaces reduce the rate of injuries is something that is too early to tell, but is being studied by vets and race tracks. The results will determine the course of tracks in the future. With the history of the Derby, and the care taken with the track, it's only natural for Churchill Downs to be one of the last track to switch away from dirt. I should point out that there is no indication that track conditions had anything to do with Eight Belles' injury.
The two major factors I believe are breeding and medication. Over the last twenty years, there has been a radical shift in the breeding industry as breeders have bred almost exclusively for the sales market rather than for racing themselves. As a result, importance is placed on how the animal looks in the show ring (conformation)and the pedigree line, rather than the ultimate track performance. This has led to inbreeding to successful sire lines and the unwillingness to try and inject new blood into the breed since buyers are reluctant to take chances. Sellers will often have surgery performed on young animals to correct conformation defects at a very early age thereby hiding problems which will be passed on to later offspring or will arise once the horse is placed into training. As Jon Weinbach showed in his Wall Street Journal
article every horse in this year's Derby could be traced back to Native Dancer. That inbreeding is bound to produce problems.
Medication is an issue the thoroughbred industry refuses to face. America is the only nation in the world were a horse is allowed to be given race day medication. Why we allow the medication of horses in training that can mask an unsound horse's troubles or allow for the medication of horses in the weeks leading up to sales, is a question I have never seen adequately answered. That question is likely to continue to dog this year's Triple Crown quest, given the sketchy past of Rick Dutrow, Big Brown's trainer, who has received multiple suspensions for illegally medicating his horses. The thoroughbred industry needs to get together and agree that all drugs should be banned and no horse should run on anything but hay, oats and water - just like the rest of the world.
Finally, and this relates back to breeding, the industry should push for longer races, particularly at the stakes and allowance level. This would force breeders to breed more for stamina instead of just speed as they do now, since buyers would increasingly be looking for stamina in the horses they would want to purchase.
I may be living in a fantasy world thinking that racing would adopt any of these suggestions. Racing is notoriously fragmented and slow to react to change. However, the uproar that has greeted the industry in response to the Eight Belles tragedy may just be enough to provoke real action. Horse racing is supposed to be the stuff of dreams, right?
Labels: Big Brown, Eight Belles, horse breeding, horse racing, Kentucky Derby